Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.000131 0.000144 0.000159 0.000176 0.000195 0.000215 0.000239
2025-06-29 0.000102 0.000121 0.000143 0.000171 0.000204 0.000244 0.000295
2025-07-06 0.000083 0.000104 0.000129 0.000163 0.000207 0.000262 0.000338
2025-07-13 0.000073 0.000096 0.000124 0.000164 0.000218 0.000290 0.000396
2025-07-20 0.000067 0.000090 0.000121 0.000166 0.000230 0.000321 0.000460
2025-07-27 0.000060 0.000084 0.000116 0.000165 0.000237 0.000344 0.000516
2025-08-03 0.000056 0.000080 0.000114 0.000167 0.000250 0.000375 0.000587
2025-08-10 0.000051 0.000075 0.000109 0.000165 0.000254 0.000395 0.000642
2025-08-17 0.000047 0.000070 0.000106 0.000163 0.000259 0.000415 0.000701
2025-08-24 0.000043 0.000066 0.000101 0.000160 0.000261 0.000431 0.000752
2025-08-31 0.000040 0.000062 0.000096 0.000155 0.000259 0.000440 0.000792
2025-09-07 0.000037 0.000059 0.000094 0.000156 0.000267 0.000466 0.000868
2025-09-14 0.000036 0.000057 0.000093 0.000158 0.000279 0.000502 0.000971
2025-09-21 0.000033 0.000054 0.000089 0.000155 0.000280 0.000518 0.001038
2025-09-28 0.000030 0.000050 0.000084 0.000148 0.000274 0.000521 0.001077
2025-10-05 0.000028 0.000048 0.000082 0.000149 0.000282 0.000552 0.001183
2025-10-12 0.000027 0.000047 0.000082 0.000151 0.000294 0.000591 0.001313
2025-10-19 0.000025 0.000045 0.000079 0.000150 0.000298 0.000617 0.001416
2025-10-26 0.000025 0.000044 0.000079 0.000152 0.000310 0.000659 0.001568
2025-11-02 0.000023 0.000042 0.000076 0.000150 0.000313 0.000681 0.001670
2025-11-09 0.000022 0.000040 0.000074 0.000149 0.000316 0.000706 0.001785
2025-11-16 0.000021 0.000038 0.000072 0.000146 0.000316 0.000722 0.001880
2025-11-23 0.000019 0.000036 0.000069 0.000142 0.000312 0.000728 0.001945